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AI and the labour market
The latest downturn in the Swedish labour market presents an unusual pattern. The number of people registered as unemployed has increased among white-collar workers, while decreasing among blue-collar workers. This report examines whether the pattern also differs between occupations with varying levels of exposure to generative AI.
Key findings:
Between November 2022 and July 2026, the number of people registered as unemployed increased by 45 per cent among white-collar workers and decreased by 6 per cent among blue-collar workers.
AI exposure is clearly higher in white-collar occupations than in blue-collar occupations.
Job vacancies have declined more in white-collar occupations than in blue-collar occupations since autumn 2022.
Blue-collar workers still make up the largest group in the unemployment figures, but the share of white-collar workers has increased from 24 to 33 per cent since November 2022.
The rise in the number of people registered as unemployed is concentrated in white-collar occupations that are more exposed to AI.